Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.120619 0.129477 0.138659 0.148891 0.159984 0.171654 0.184871
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.103099 0.115648 0.129309 0.145316 0.163595 0.183860 0.208091
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.096004 0.110882 0.127619 0.147903 0.171900 0.199482 0.233726
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.088040 0.104084 0.122613 0.145688 0.173784 0.207045 0.249643
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.082024 0.098933 0.118907 0.144375 0.176170 0.214797 0.265641
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.075784 0.092997 0.113733 0.140719 0.175155 0.217950 0.275661
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.071298 0.088888 0.110462 0.139075 0.176335 0.223629 0.288872
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.068229 0.086336 0.108922 0.139417 0.179899 0.232331 0.306252
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.064378 0.082549 0.105558 0.137127 0.179766 0.236007 0.316879
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.061493 0.079851 0.103436 0.136294 0.181422 0.242001 0.330798
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.060844 0.080045 0.105083 0.140528 0.190060 0.257788 0.359084
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.058431 0.077743 0.103255 0.139874 0.191830 0.264030 0.373946
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.055920 0.075265 0.101159 0.138860 0.193192 0.269963 0.389007
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.052867 0.071918 0.097734 0.135821 0.191515 0.271449 0.397560
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.051843 0.071341 0.098114 0.138185 0.197714 0.284620 0.424352
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.049486 0.068771 0.095554 0.136137 0.197258 0.287812 0.435829
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.047548 0.066716 0.093635 0.134920 0.197940 0.292677 0.450079
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.045092 0.063814 0.090367 0.131533 0.195133 0.292001 0.455327
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.043329 0.061856 0.088400 0.130010 0.195093 0.295564 0.467559
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.042188 0.060771 0.087672 0.130326 0.197903 0.303691 0.487677
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.040450 0.058729 0.085433 0.128204 0.196737 0.305361 0.496960
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.039166 0.057324 0.084100 0.127432 0.197675 0.310436 0.512249
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.039153 0.057844 0.085711 0.131356 0.206363 0.328597 0.551156